Chester vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
SOU
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 3
KIN
37%
24%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 2
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
FYL
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
3 - 2
CHE
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 1
PON
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
CHA
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
PON
40%
22%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
OUF
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 2
PON
19%
21%
61%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |