Chester vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 2
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 0
CHE
31%
25%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
YOR
0 - 0
CHE
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALT
47%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 2
DAR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 2
DAR
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |