Chesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HUN
0 - 1
CHE
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
STA
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STO
2 - 3
CHE
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
3 - 2
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
BID
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
BID
40%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
AFT
3 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
STN
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
WHI
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BIG
0 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |