Non League Div One Isthmian South Central. Jor. 12

Chertsey Town vs Chipstead analysis

Chertsey Town Chipstead
33 ELO 26
5.8% Tilt 0.4%
6006º General ELO ranking 12120º
288º Country ELO ranking 786º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Chertsey Town
18.3%
Draw
17%
Chipstead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
Chertsey Town
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17%
Win probability
Chipstead
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chertsey Town
+48%
-15%
Chipstead

Points and table prediction

Chertsey Town
Their league position
Chipstead
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
95
11º
30
19º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chertsey Town
95
101
100%
Marlow FC
80
86
52.5%
Leatherhead
80
84
50%
Southall
74
80
44.5%
Westfield FC
71
80
30%
Raynes Park Vale
73
79
38%
Hanworth Villa FC
56
63
72.5%
South Park FC
61
61
59.5%
Thatcham Town
56
60
62.5%
Hartley Wintney
10º
52
56
10º
22%
Badshot Lea FC
11º
51
55
11º
29%
Uxbridge
12º
50
54
12º
36.5%
Ascot United
13º
42
45
13º
55.5%
Northwood
15º
38
44
14º
31%
Sutton Common Rovers
14º
40
41
15º
59%
Guernsey
16º
33
37
16º
42.5%
Metropolitan Police
18º
33
37
17º
47%
Ashford Town
17º
33
34
18º
49%
Binfield
20º
26
32
19º
41%
Chipstead
19º
30
31
20º
58.5%
Corinthian-Casuals
21º
18
19
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chertsey Town
Chipstead
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 41.5%
Relegation
0% 58.5%

ELO progression

Chertsey Town
Chipstead
Southall
Thatcham Town
Sutton Common Rovers
Badshot Lea FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
NOR
Northwood
2 - 4
Chertsey Town
CHE
30%
23%
48%
32 25 7 0
14 Oct. 2023
CHE
Chertsey Town
3 - 0
Metropolitan Police
MET
31%
22%
48%
29 35 6 +3
10 Oct. 2023
LEA
Leatherhead
0 - 1
Chertsey Town
CHE
58%
22%
21%
27 35 8 +2
07 Oct. 2023
CHE
Chertsey Town
2 - 1
Uxbridge
UXB
54%
21%
26%
26 25 1 +1
03 Oct. 2023
BIN
Binfield
1 - 1
Chertsey Town
CHE
22%
22%
57%
26 19 7 0

Matches

Chipstead
Chipstead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 0
Ascot United
ASC
24%
21%
56%
24 35 11 0
14 Oct. 2023
BAD
Badshot Lea FC
4 - 2
Chipstead
CHI
75%
14%
11%
25 38 13 -1
10 Oct. 2023
CHI
Chipstead
4 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
67%
18%
15%
24 17 7 +1
30 Sep. 2023
MET
Metropolitan Police
4 - 0
Chipstead
CHI
67%
19%
15%
25 35 10 -1
23 Sep. 2023
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 4
Raynes Park Vale
RAY
28%
21%
51%
26 33 7 -1
X