Chernomorets Byala vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
KUB
1 - 0
CHE
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHE
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 1
PRO
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HIM
0 - 1
CHE
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
SEP
42%
26%
33%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
6 - 0
BEN
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SIL
0 - 2
DUN
21%
24%
54%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DVE
0 - 4
DUN
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
SUV
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
KUB
0 - 3
DUN
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |