Chernomorets Balchik vs Svetkavitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
LYU
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHE
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DOB
2 - 0
CHE
18%
23%
60%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Svetkavitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SVE
2 - 1
SVI
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 0
SVE
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SVE
0 - 1
LYU
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
CHE
4 - 2
SVE
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SVE
3 - 0
MIN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |