Cherno More Varna vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
CVA
2 - 0
MAK
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
CVA
0 - 3
SSO
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NEF
1 - 1
CVA
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
CVA
1 - 2
LPL
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 1
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROD
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
LSO
3 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
LSO
46%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
VID
1 - 3
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |