Cherno More Varna vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
PIR
1 - 0
CVA
19%
27%
54%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
CVA
1 - 0
BOT
38%
29%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
CVA
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CVA
2 - 1
NEF
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LUD
1 - 1
CVA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LOV
3 - 0
BER
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LPL
2 - 5
LOV
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
LOV
0 - 0
CSK
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SSO
1 - 2
LOV
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LOV
3 - 1
CHB
69%
19%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |