Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LOV
0 - 2
CVA
19%
26%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CVA
0 - 2
CSK
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SSO
1 - 0
CVA
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
CVA
0 - 0
LSO
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CVA
2 - 1
LSO
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
LPL
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LPL
2 - 3
CSK
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 2
LPL
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
LPL
2 - 3
LUD
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LPL
0 - 1
CSK
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |