Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CVA
1 - 1
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ARK
4 - 0
CVA
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CVA
1 - 1
SSO
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 1
CVA
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 1
CVA
47%
28%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BVR
1 - 1
CSK
17%
26%
58%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
68%
20%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SEP
0 - 1
CSK
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 1
CVA
47%
28%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
CSK
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |