A PFG Round 14

Cherno More Varna vs Beroe analysis

Cherno More Varna Beroe
74 ELO 77
-15.8% Tilt -0.9%
796º General ELO ranking 1627º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Cherno More Varna
29.2%
Draw
30.3%
Beroe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
30.3%
Win probability
Beroe
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cherno More Varna
-6%
-9%
Beroe

ELO progression

Cherno More Varna
Beroe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2015
VST
Vihar Stroevo
0 - 5
Cherno More Varna
CVA
3%
10%
87%
76 12 64 0
23 Oct. 2015
LSO
Levski Sofia
1 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
52%
24%
25%
76 76 0 0
17 Oct. 2015
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
48%
27%
24%
76 72 4 0
03 Oct. 2015
LUD
Ludogorets
1 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
48%
26%
27%
76 78 2 0
26 Sep. 2015
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
66%
23%
11%
75 61 14 +1

Matches

Beroe
Beroe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2015
BER
Beroe
3 - 1
Bansko
BAN
64%
23%
14%
77 60 17 0
26 Oct. 2015
BER
Beroe
1 - 2
Slavia Sofia
SSO
50%
27%
23%
77 72 5 0
19 Oct. 2015
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 - 1
Beroe
BER
25%
29%
46%
77 62 15 0
02 Oct. 2015
BER
Beroe
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
58%
25%
17%
76 66 10 +1
27 Sep. 2015
MON
Montana
1 - 0
Beroe
BER
41%
28%
32%
77 70 7 -1