Cherno More Varna vs Akademik Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
CSK
4 - 0
CVA
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
CVA
1 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ETA
2 - 1
CVA
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CVA
1 - 0
CHB
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
TUN
1 - 0
CVA
25%
30%
45%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Akademik Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
AKA
1 - 0
LSO
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
CSK
1 - 0
AKA
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
AKA
0 - 1
LPL
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
1 - 1
AKA
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
AKA
0 - 1
BOT
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |