Cherno More Varna II vs Kubrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+297%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
6º
4º
3
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CMV
4 - 2
CHE
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CMV
0 - 0
LUD
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 1
CMV
29%
24%
48%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CMV
3 - 0
BIS
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 1
CMV
13%
16%
71%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Kubrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 0
KUB
89%
9%
2%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KUB
1 - 0
DOR
6%
12%
82%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 0
KUB
92%
7%
2%
|
5 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KUB
0 - 2
CHE
6%
13%
81%
|
5 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UST
5 - 2
KUB
93%
6%
1%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |