K-League Challenge Normal Season Round 25

Chungbuk Cheongju vs Hwaseong analysis

Chungbuk Cheongju Hwaseong
67 ELO 71
-8.2% Tilt -7.2%
2188º General ELO ranking 1824º
30º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
33.2%
Chungbuk Cheongju
26.9%
Draw
39.9%
Hwaseong

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
Chungbuk Cheongju
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.9%
Win probability
Hwaseong
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chungbuk Cheongju
-11%
-11%
Hwaseong

Points and table prediction

Chungbuk Cheongju
Their league position
Hwaseong
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
14º
12º
23
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Incheon United
54
88
90%
Suwon Bluewings
44
78
68.5%
Jeonnam Dragons
38
69
38.5%
Bucheon FC 1995
38
69
29.5%
Busan I Park
34
62
34%
Seoul E-Land FC
33
58
29%
Gimpo FC
29
54
31.5%
Chungnam Asan FC
26
51
33%
Seongnam FC
27
44
34%
Hwaseong
10º
23
42
10º
21.5%
Gyeongnam FC
13º
18
37
11º
22%
Chungbuk Cheongju
12º
20
36
12º
22%
Ansan Greeners
11º
20
35
13º
28.5%
Cheonan City
14º
16
32
14º
47%
Expected probabilities
Chungbuk Cheongju
Hwaseong
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Chungbuk Cheongju
Hwaseong
Ansan Greeners
Gimpo FC
Seoul E-Land FC
Bucheon FC 1995
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chungbuk Cheongju
Chungbuk Cheongju
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
CHE
Chungbuk Cheongju
0 - 3
Gimpo FC
GIM
30%
30%
40%
67 77 10 0
20 Jul. 2025
CHE
Chungbuk Cheongju
2 - 1
Cheonan City
CHE
44%
27%
29%
67 65 2 0
12 Jul. 2025
SUW
Suwon Bluewings
1 - 0
Chungbuk Cheongju
CHE
72%
20%
8%
67 84 17 0
05 Jul. 2025
CHE
Chungbuk Cheongju
2 - 1
Seoul E-Land FC
ELA
28%
27%
44%
66 74 8 +1
29 Jun. 2025
CHE
Chungbuk Cheongju
2 - 2
Jeonnam Dragons
CDR
20%
25%
55%
65 78 13 +1

Matches

Hwaseong
Hwaseong
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
KOR
Chungnam Asan FC
1 - 1
Hwaseong
HWA
52%
25%
24%
70 75 5 0
19 Jul. 2025
HWA
Hwaseong
1 - 0
Busan I Park
BUS
25%
27%
48%
69 79 10 +1
12 Jul. 2025
CHE
Cheonan City
2 - 3
Hwaseong
HWA
36%
26%
39%
68 65 3 +1
06 Jul. 2025
HWA
Hwaseong
0 - 1
Bucheon FC 1995
BUC
25%
27%
48%
69 79 10 -1
28 Jun. 2025
HWA
Hwaseong
1 - 0
Seongnam FC
SEO
44%
27%
28%
68 67 1 +1