Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
36.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CHF
2 - 1
WAK
53%
19%
28%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CHF
1 - 7
BEN
17%
18%
65%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CHF
4 - 1
CPO
63%
18%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
CHF
0 - 4
CPK
18%
19%
64%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HSA
0 - 4
CHF
20%
19%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MCA
3 - 1
PSP
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 2
LUL
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
5 - 1
MCA
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 1
WAK
63%
17%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |