Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
TOT
1 - 3
CHL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 3
LUT
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1986 |
CHL
0 - 0
COV
69%
18%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
SHW
2 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1986 |
OXF
1 - 1
CHL
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
NTT
6 - 0
ASV
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
SOU
1 - 3
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1986 |
WHU
1 - 2
NTT
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
NTT
1 - 1
WAT
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
NTT
4 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |