Chelsea vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
BIR
0 - 0
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 0
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
CHL
2 - 1
LEE
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
STO
2 - 0
CHL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 1
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
MID
2 - 2
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1937 |
MID
4 - 1
WBA
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
MID
4 - 2
LEE
60%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
LEE
5 - 0
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |