Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
45%
27%
28%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
EVE
0 - 1
CHL
26%
28%
47%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
CHL
1 - 1
WIG
79%
15%
6%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 0
FEN
75%
17%
8%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHL
17%
27%
56%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 0
MUD
38%
26%
36%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BBU
1 - 1
MUD
19%
24%
58%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 0
ROM
67%
20%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |