Chelsea vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
SHW
1 - 0
CHL
57%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
CHL
48%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
CHL
5 - 3
PNE
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
CAR
2 - 2
BPO
26%
26%
49%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
DER
1 - 1
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
CHA
3 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
MAC
2 - 2
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
CAR
2 - 0
STO
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |