Chelsea vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CHL
0 - 2
LIV
28%
24%
48%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
BHA
1 - 3
CHL
11%
18%
72%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BHA
1 - 1
CHL
13%
19%
68%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BYM
4 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
32%
23%
45%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
REA
2 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
MID
0 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUT
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
NTT
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
NEW
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |