Conference South Round 24

Chelmsford City vs Hayes & Yeading United analysis

Chelmsford City Hayes & Yeading United
54 ELO 45
15.3% Tilt -3.3%
5171º General ELO ranking 8628º
158º Country ELO ranking 360º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Chelmsford City
19.1%
Draw
15.8%
Hayes & Yeading United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
Chelmsford City
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.8%
Win probability
Hayes & Yeading United
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chelmsford City
-3%
+1%
Hayes & Yeading United

ELO progression

Chelmsford City
Hayes & Yeading United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2013
CHM
Chelmsford City
4 - 0
Dorchester Town
DOR
69%
18%
13%
53 44 9 0
26 Jan. 2013
WHI
Truro City
1 - 2
Chelmsford City
CHM
27%
25%
49%
53 39 14 0
12 Jan. 2013
HAL
FC Halifax Town
3 - 0
Chelmsford City
CHM
51%
23%
26%
54 55 1 -1
05 Jan. 2013
MAI
Maidenhead United
2 - 1
Chelmsford City
CHM
25%
25%
50%
54 42 12 0
01 Jan. 2013
BIL
Billericay Town
0 - 1
Chelmsford City
CHM
29%
26%
46%
54 46 8 0

Matches

Hayes & Yeading United
Hayes & Yeading United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2013
BOR
Boreham Wood
3 - 0
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
55%
23%
23%
47 52 5 0
26 Jan. 2013
HAY
Hayes & Yeading United
2 - 2
Bath City
BAT
63%
20%
18%
48 43 5 -1
12 Jan. 2013
HAY
Hayes & Yeading United
2 - 1
Weston-super-Mare
WES
58%
21%
21%
47 46 1 +1
05 Jan. 2013
DOR
Dorchester Town
2 - 2
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
39%
25%
36%
47 44 3 0
01 Jan. 2013
MAI
Maidenhead United
0 - 2
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
41%
25%
35%
46 43 3 +1