Ukraine Third Division Round 13

Chayka vs FK Trostyanets analysis

Chayka FK Trostyanets
57 ELO 48
-6% Tilt -4.4%
3623º General ELO ranking 5881º
38º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
54.9%
Chayka
23.4%
Draw
21.7%
FK Trostyanets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
Chayka
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
FK Trostyanets
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chayka
-34%
-4%
FK Trostyanets

Points and table prediction

Chayka
Their league position
FK Trostyanets
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
21
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UCSA
62
65
34.5%
PFK Zvyagel
61
65
42%
Druzhba
62
65
27.5%
Chayka
51
54
99%
Skala Stryi
41
42
51.5%
Karpaty II
39
42
28%
Kudrivka
40
40
35.5%
Nyva Vinnytsya
33
39
34%
Rukh Lviv II
37
37
57%
VAST Mykolaiv
15º
0
32
10º
33%
Lokomotiv Kyiv
10º
28
31
11º
52%
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
13º
16
25
12º
27%
FK Trostyanets
11º
21
24
13º
44.5%
Real Pharma
12º
19
19
14º
82.5%
Kremin II
14º
6
7
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chayka
FK Trostyanets
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Chayka
FK Trostyanets
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chayka
Chayka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2023
NYV
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 - 1
Chayka
CHA
42%
26%
32%
56 54 2 0
01 Oct. 2023
SST
Skala Stryi
2 - 1
Chayka
CHA
46%
25%
29%
56 56 0 0
24 Sep. 2023
CHA
Chayka
2 - 1
Rukh Lviv II
RUT
81%
13%
6%
56 17 39 0
18 Sep. 2023
FKK
Kudrivka
1 - 0
Chayka
CHA
14%
20%
66%
56 31 25 0
13 Sep. 2023
CHA
Chayka
1 - 0
Druzhba
FCD
81%
13%
6%
56 21 35 0

Matches

FK Trostyanets
FK Trostyanets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2023
FKT
FK Trostyanets
2 - 1
Kremin II
FKK
73%
17%
10%
49 29 20 0
05 Oct. 2023
FCL
Lokomotiv Kyiv
2 - 1
FK Trostyanets
FKT
11%
18%
71%
50 18 32 -1
23 Sep. 2023
FKT
FK Trostyanets
2 - 0
Karpaty II
KAR
33%
25%
42%
48 54 6 +2
17 Sep. 2023
NYV
Nyva Vinnytsya
1 - 1
FK Trostyanets
FKT
56%
23%
21%
48 54 6 0
08 Sep. 2023
SST
Skala Stryi
1 - 0
FK Trostyanets
FKT
58%
22%
20%
48 55 7 0