Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
FEI
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAF
35%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
COV
1 - 2
VAR
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 0
EST
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LEX
1 - 0
VAR
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |