Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TON
2 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CHA
6 - 0
TRO
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 1
CHA
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
OLH
3 - 0
CHA
24%
28%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAR
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAS
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAF
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
VAR
21%
22%
56%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |