Chaves vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 1
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FEI
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SPC
5 - 5
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAI
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
OLM
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
UDL
5 - 2
RIO
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 3
SCP
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |