Chaves vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIZ
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
TIR
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 2
VAR
29%
28%
44%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 1
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
INF
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 2
RIB
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |