Chaves U19 vs Varzim U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
1º
1º
39
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
OSL
80%
13%
8%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
CHA
19%
20%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TRF
0 - 1
CHA
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
CHA
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OSL
1 - 3
VAR
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 0
MIR
81%
13%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
VAR
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |