Chauvigny vs Châteauneuf-sur-Loire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
10º
8º
25
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauvigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SBM
2 - 0
CHA
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 2
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ROM
6 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
CHA
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CSL
4 - 2
SBM
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MON
2 - 0
CSL
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CSL
1 - 2
ROM
10%
17%
73%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 0
CSL
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CSL
6 - 0
CHA
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |