Chauray vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
1º
27
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LAV
0 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
30%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 0
NAN
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 2
PAN
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NAN
4 - 1
SAB
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 0
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FON
0 - 0
SAB
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 2
SPG
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |