Chauray vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
NAN
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AGD
0 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 2
REI
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 2
LOR
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
SOC
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
LOR
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |