Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Vineuil SF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
13º
12º
17
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TOU
2 - 2
CSL
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SBM
6 - 0
CSL
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CSL
2 - 2
UNI
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VIE
4 - 2
CSL
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CSL
1 - 2
ORL
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vineuil SF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VSF
1 - 2
CHA
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SBM
4 - 0
VSF
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VSF
1 - 3
MON
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ROM
2 - 0
VSF
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VSF
1 - 0
VIE
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |