Charnock Richard vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ASH
2 - 6
CHA
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
BAR
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 0
CHA
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
AFC
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
CHA
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
BCF
2 - 1
ALI
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
VAU
2 - 1
BCF
9%
18%
73%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 1
KEN
89%
9%
2%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PRH
1 - 2
BCF
8%
17%
74%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 1
ASH
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | +1 |