Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
4º
43
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 2
CHA
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CRW
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
4 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
OKS
1 - 1
CHA
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
1 - 2
CHA
23%
24%
52%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
NCO
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 0
RIC
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
OKS
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 1
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CVF
4 - 4
FMA
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |