Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Ocelotes de la UNACH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 3
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
RCU
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 0
CHA
32%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATV
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
OUN
2 - 2
POL
73%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PDC
4 - 0
OUN
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OUN
0 - 2
CAN
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 1
OUN
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OUN
0 - 0
JAG
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |