Chapecoense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
JEC
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
HER
2 - 2
CHA
19%
24%
58%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
FFL
2 - 4
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
SCA
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CRI
0 - 0
JEC
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
JEC
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
JEC
4 - 3
SCA
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HER
2 - 1
JEC
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 1
JEC
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |