Chapecoense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 0
CHA
21%
24%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
INT
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAC
0 - 1
CHA
9%
18%
73%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
TUB
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
COT
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
JEC
4 - 0
INT
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 1
BRU
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JEC
8 - 1
MOG
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |