Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 0
GRE
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 0
FFL
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
PAL
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
COT
0 - 0
FFL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 1
BOT
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |