Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 2
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRI
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FFL
3 - 0
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
FFL
14%
21%
66%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FFL
5 - 2
BRU
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 0
JEC
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
FFL
15%
21%
63%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |