Chapecoense vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 3
CHA
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
79%
17%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
JUV
77%
18%
6%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
CHA
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 0
JUV
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 2
BRU
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
AVA
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 0
BRU
18%
20%
62%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
BRU
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -3 |