Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
50.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SCI
5 - 2
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
ATM
13%
23%
64%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAO
17%
24%
60%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
CHA
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
PAL
19%
27%
55%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 2
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATP
36%
28%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATP
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 0
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
4 - 2
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |