Chapadão vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
OAC
1 - 3
CHA
6%
11%
82%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 0
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 4
ABC
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
7DE
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
COS
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
COS
0 - 0
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
COS
34%
23%
43%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 3
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |