Chapadão vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAA
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHA
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
OPE
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AQU
4 - 0
CHA
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -3 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 5
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
COM
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
AQU
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 2
COM
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |