Chapadão vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
CHA
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
COS
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
NOV
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MIS
0 - 3
CHA
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
MIS
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
CEN
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
COS
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 2
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |