Must IPO vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Must IPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
CPK
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
CPK
4 - 1
MAC
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
WAK
2 - 1
CPK
57%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CPK
5 - 1
CPO
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 6
CPK
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
PSP
2 - 0
MAC
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CPO
2 - 3
PSP
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 1
MCA
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LAI
1 - 0
PSP
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 0
SMA
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |