Changwon City vs Yeoju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 5
CHA
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
POC
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 1
CHA
21%
24%
56%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAJ
1 - 2
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
DAE
3 - 3
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Yeoju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YES
3 - 4
GAN
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GYE
0 - 2
YES
61%
24%
16%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
YES
1 - 0
CHU
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SIH
4 - 1
YES
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
YES
1 - 2
ULS
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |