Change vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
54.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
14º
14º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ESO
2 - 2
CHA
82%
12%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LAV
4 - 1
CHA
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FON
1 - 0
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
4 - 0
CHA
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
LPS
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 1
LEM
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LPS
2 - 1
SPG
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 0
ACP
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 3
SPG
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 2
LRO
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |