Change vs Montagnarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LAV
4 - 0
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CHA
3 - 2
SAI
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CON
0 - 3
CHA
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 0
STA
26%
25%
50%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MON
2 - 3
LOC
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
3 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MON
3 - 1
LPS
25%
26%
49%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +4 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 0
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
VOL
7 - 0
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |