SC Cham vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
SCH
3 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CHA
6 - 0
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CHA
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 2
RAP
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCZ
1 - 4
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 5
CEL
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SIO
4 - 0
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
CLU
1 - 0
LUG
31%
25%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 2
THU
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 0
CLU
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |