SC Cham vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
ZUG
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
CHU
1 - 0
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 3
RAP
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
STG
1 - 2
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 0
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 3
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
YOB
42%
24%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 1
DIY
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |