Challans vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
9º
9º
35
1º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAV
3 - 2
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPG
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SNA
1 - 3
FON
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
FON
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |